With the NFL season rapidly approaching, it’s time to delve into four intriguing rushing prop bets that are poised to be big winners this year. As the offseason drags on and the days until the NFL season kicks off dwindle into the double digits, now is the perfect time to capitalize on some early season-long rushing prop bets. Running backs are always a gamble due to the physical toll a full season takes on their bodies, but the oddsmakers at DraftKings may have some early surprises in store for bettors. Let’s take a closer look at my four favorite season-long rushing prop bets for the upcoming 2024 NFL season.
The Carolina Panthers struggled offensively in 2023, with their running back investment in Miles Sanders falling short of expectations. Despite this, fourth-round pick Chuba Hubbard managed to tally 902 rushing yards, although his efficiency metrics were lackluster. Overall, the Panthers’ rushing offense ranked 19th in attempts, 20th in yards, and 23rd in yards per attempt. With these lackluster results, the Panthers made a bold move in selecting Jonathon Brooks with the 46th overall pick in the 2024 draft, making him the first running back off the board that year.
New Head Coach and offensive play-caller Dave Canales has expressed confidence in Brooks early on, emphasizing the need to revamp the Panthers’ rushing attack. Canales was able to produce a nearly 1000-yard rusher with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last season, showcasing his ability to utilize high volume to compensate for inefficiency. The Panthers’ offense, which averaged 64.5 plays per game last season, presents ample opportunities for Brooks to make an impact. With an over/under of 775.5 rushing yards, it seems likely that Brooks will surpass this mark given the team’s commitment to the running game.
Najee Harris has consistently exceeded 6.5 rushing touchdowns in each of his NFL seasons, despite playing in subpar scoring offenses. With Russell Wilson at quarterback and Arthur Smith as the new offensive coordinator, there may be some uncertainty surrounding the Steelers’ offensive output. However, Smith’s track record of running the ball over 30 times per game while coaching the Atlanta Falcons bodes well for Harris’s touchdown potential.
Tony Pollard finds himself in a unique position, stepping into the void left by Derrick Henry in the Titans’ backfield. While he won’t be expected to carry the ball 20 times per game like Henry did, Pollard is set to see a significant workload. Despite the presence of Tyjae Spears in the backfield, Pollard’s high salary and past performance make the over/under of 800.5 rushing yards seem like a disrespectfully low mark. With back-to-back 1000-yard seasons under his belt, Pollard has shown he can excel with increased touches.
Former Bengal Joe Mixon has been a red zone workhorse over the past three seasons, consistently ranking in the top ten for red zone touches. With Zack Moss now stepping into Mixon’s role in Cincinnati, there is a chance for Moss to capitalize on his opportunities. Moss demonstrated his ability to find the end zone last season and was effective in short-yardage situations, making the over on his rushing touchdown total an enticing bet for the upcoming season.
In conclusion, these rushing prop bets offer plenty of intrigue and potential for big payouts in the 2024 NFL season. Keep an eye on these players as they look to make an impact on the field and in the betting world.
