In the world of NFL betting, trends may not always be the ultimate decider in handicapping, but they certainly offer valuable insights for those who know where to look. Luckily, Joe Osborne is here to analyze the best betting trends as we head into Week 5 of the NFL season.
As another week of NFL action unfolds before our eyes, we can expect to see some unexpected outcomes, as has been the case in the past few weeks. The Week 5 schedule includes the second international game of the season, with the New York Jets facing off against the Minnesota Vikings in jolly old England. Despite the occasional chaos these international games bring, they have presented a clear trend for bettors to follow – simply back the favorite. In the 45 international games played thus far, the favorite has emerged victorious 34 times, with a solid 67% cover rate.
The Vikings are favored by 2.5 points over the Jets in Sunday morning’s matchup at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, and based on their performances this season, the trend of favoring the favorite looks likely to continue.
One intriguing trend to keep an eye on is the Atlanta Falcons’ struggles in games following a win. Since the start of the 2020 season, the Falcons have stumbled to a 6-18-1 record against the spread after a victory. They will face a tough test against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who have been dominant on the road, boasting a 9-2 ATS record in their last 11 away games. The Falcons are favored by 1.5 points in this contest.
Meanwhile, the Minnesota Vikings have been a perfect bet so far this season, holding a 4-0 record both straight up and against the spread, while also going over their team total in each game. Their consistency will be put to the test as they face the New York Jets, who have struggled with a 4-10 ATS record over their last 14 games.
The trend of the Cleveland Browns going under their team total in every game this season will face a challenge as they take on the Washington Commanders, known for their subpar defense. The Browns have had a rough start to the season, ranking last in yards per play and third-down conversion rate, and have allowed the most sacks in the league. Their team total for this game is set at 20.5 points.
As we look ahead to Week 5 of the NFL season, these trends give us valuable insights into how these matchups may unfold. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just looking for an edge in the upcoming games, paying attention to these trends could prove to be a game-changer.
